The Republican candidate needs to find some way to boost his numbers in the final weeks leading up to the election.
Even if Donald Trump manages to survive the latest scandal to plague his campaign, the folks at Team Trump need to figure out a way to boost their candidate’s base and to knock down their opponent’s poll numbers if they are to have any hope of coming away victorious in this contest.
In looking at the Real Clear Politics poll averages going back to June, There are only two days that Trump has surpassed Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, and that lead didn’t come because he grew his support. Rather, it came from a decline in Clinton support following the Republican National Convention.
According to Real Clear Politics poll averages, Trump led Clinton on July 29 and 30 by 1.2 percentage points (40 percent to 38.8 percent). On July 31 the two candidates were tied in the averages at 40.2 percent, and beginning in August Clinton got her post Democratic National Convention boost that lifted her all the way to 44 percent while Trump support slumped to 36.6 percent.
From there, Trump didn’t crack 40 percent again until Sept. 14, and his highest points came on Sept. 26 and 27 when he reached 41.5 percent. Over that same period, the lowest Clinton dipped was 41 percent. With defections from the Trump camp following revelations of his crude objectification of women, Trump's hole will likely grow larger.
Polls change by the day, but the trend that the Trump campaign should be worried about is that, with the exception of those two days after the GOP convention, their candidate hasn’t been able to draw even with his opponent, let alone hope to pass her.
Clinton has had her share of drops over the months, but when her numbers drop, in most cases, Trump’s numbers have also dropped. Perhaps this is a product of Trump’s seemingly unending addiction to be the center of the news cycle because, every time Clinton has a bad week, Trump comes out and says or does something that, while it may get him the daily fix of headlines he craves, also kills him in the polls.
His degrading comments about women and minorities, his disrespect of veterans and families of service members killed in the line of duty, his bogus claims of charity and history of bilking people out of money, his disdain for the Constitution, the lies that he tells and then denies saying, even though evidence to the contrary is just a few mouse clicks away on the internet, all add up to huge self-inflicted doses of poison that the candidate is inflicting upon himself. It’s almost as if he doesn’t want to win and is doing all he can to keep that from happening.
Now, as the election draws ever closer, even if his staff can find a way to boost his numbers it likely won’t be enough unless they also find some way to bring Clinton’s numbers down. They had pinned a lot of their hopes on Wikileaks last week after founder Julian Assange promised big news that turned out to be a self-congratulatory press conference about the group’s anniversary. But Trump's latest problems have eclipsed the release of more emails that otherwise might have hurt her in the polls.
Trump has had more than a year to refine himself into something that would increase his voter appeal and he hasn’t managed to do so. At the same time, while Clinton hasn’t increased her appeal, she has maintained a level of support higher than Trump’s which, if it doesn’t change, will assure she wins the election.
For Team Trump, time is running out to find that magic combination that will boost their candidate into the White House.